STRATEGY —

One Business, Three Multiples

The company you think you own may be priced by three different comp sets.

TL;DR: Owners accept a single multiple for the whole company because they think of the business as one thing. In a lot of companies it is two or three things sitting inside one set of books, and each of them would be priced by a different comp set. Separating them can be worth more than a year of growth, and it does not require earning another dollar.

Breakfast at Denny's

There we were, face to face at a Denny's no less. Just me and the seller of a business I was in the process of buying.

The seller's proposed valuation was twenty million dollars. Everything I could find on comparable businesses told me it was worth about three million as it stood.

So I asked how he got to twenty. There was no science to it. It was what he thought the business should be worth, which worked out to roughly one times sales.

The problem, I explained, was that businesses like his sold on a multiple of profit rather than sales, and that an owner-operated publishing business typically traded somewhere between two and three times profit. We talked it through. I showed him data from the charts a business valuation company publishes. We agreed on three million.

That was a fair price for where the business sat that day. It was also nowhere near what I thought the thing was actually worth, and the reason had nothing to do with growth.

Three Businesses in One Set of Books

The company had three distinct components and no professional management.

That second part mattered as much as the first. Components that all depend on the same owner are not really separable, so the first move was installing professional management. Then we broke the one company into three.

The original publishing component was worth five times profits. The other two were worth ten times and eleven and a half times.

That took the overall valuation from three million to about eight point three million. Without any additional growth. Not a single new customer, not a point of margin, nothing that would show up as performance in a quarterly review.

And that was not the end of it. We later found more sub-businesses inside the core company. To date we have exited five different companies out of that one, and the remaining business still generates eight figures.

I bought it cheap because I understood multiples and the seller did not. Then I sold parts of it for considerably more than I paid for the whole, because I understood multiple arbitrage: repositioning a company, or parts of it, so a higher multiple can be applied than the company could command before.

Why This Sits Unused

The reason most owners never run this is not that the mechanics are hard. It is that the business feels like one thing to the person who built it.

You do not experience a services line and a software line and a licensing line. You experience Tuesday. Everything shares a bank account, a team, an office, and your attention, so it presents itself as a single object, and a single object gets a single multiple.

The buyer does not have that problem. A buyer prices what they recognize. If they recognize a publishing business, they reach for publishing comps, and every dollar of profit inside that entity gets publishing money, including the dollars that were never publishing dollars in the first place.

The other reason is that separation looks like overhead. Three entities, three sets of books, three management structures. It reads as cost and complexity, and the payoff is invisible until the day someone is pricing you.

That is the trade, stated honestly. Real administrative cost now, against a repricing later that is frequently larger than anything you could grow your way to in the same period.

How I Install This

When we look at a company that is stuck on valuation, this is one of the first things we test, and it is a short exercise.

Inventory the revenue lines. Not products. Revenue lines with genuinely different economics: different margin profile, different customer, different delivery. Most owners can name two or three inside ten minutes once they stop thinking about the org chart.

Price each one against its own comps. For each line, ask what a buyer would call it if it stood alone, and what that kind of business trades for. This is where the gap appears. If one line is a recurring software business trading at ten times and it is currently earning publishing money at three, you have found the arbitrage without touching operations.

Ask whether it could stand alone. The blocker is almost never the revenue. It is that everything routes through you, or through one shared team, or through one contract. Separation requires professional management in each piece, which is why we sequence that first.

Then separate, and give it time to look real. Buyers price what has a history. A line item carved into its own entity three weeks before a process reads as deal engineering. The same separation with two years behind it reads as a company.

Before any of that, it helps to know how far your current number sits from what the business could support. The Exit Gap calculator runs that in a few minutes, free, and it will tell you whether your gap is a growth problem or a structure problem. They are not fixed the same way.

The seller across that Denny's table was not careless. He just priced the only business he could see, which was the one he had been running for years. The three inside it were there the whole time.

— Roland

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Roland’s Riff

If your business can't run without you, you don't own a business.

You own a job you can never leave.

A lot of founders convince themselves they're irreplaceable. Nobody else can sell like they can. Nobody knows the customers as well. Nobody can make the decisions.

But your competitors are running businesses without you just fine.

The goal isn't to become better at doing everything yourself.

It's to build something that no longer needs you to do everything at all.

And you want to make that transition while you still own the company, not when a buyer forces you to.

Want to see how to know if you own a business or just a really demanding job?

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